{"id":2907,"date":"2022-08-16T13:46:37","date_gmt":"2022-08-16T13:46:37","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/?p=2907"},"modified":"2022-08-16T13:46:37","modified_gmt":"2022-08-16T13:46:37","slug":"recession-mean-housing-market","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/recession-mean-housing-market\/","title":{"rendered":"What Would a Recession Mean for the Housing Market?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div id=\"attachment_2908\" style=\"width: 760px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-2908\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2908\" src=\"https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/20220816-KCM-Share.jpeg\" alt=\"\" width=\"750\" height=\"410\" srcset=\"https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/20220816-KCM-Share.jpeg 750w, https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/20220816-KCM-Share-300x164.jpeg 300w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 750px) 100vw, 750px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-2908\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">What Would a Recession Mean for the Housing Market?<\/p><\/div>\n<p>According to a <a title=\"recent survey\" href=\"https:\/\/www.wsj.com\/articles\/economic-forecasting-survey-archive-11617814998\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">recent survey<\/a> from the <em>Wall Street Journal<\/em>, the percentage of economists who believe we\u2019ll see a recession in the next 12 months is growing. When surveyed in July 2021, only 12% of economists consulted thought there\u2019d be a recession by now. But this July, when polled, 49% believe we will see a recession in the coming 12 months.<\/p>\n<p>And as more recession talk fills the air, one concern many people have is: <em>should I delay my homeownership plans if there\u2019s a recession? <\/em><\/p>\n<p><strong>Here\u2019s a look at historical data to show what happened in real estate during previous recessions to help prove why you shouldn\u2019t be afraid of what a recession would mean for the housing market today.<\/strong><\/p>\n<h4><strong>A Recession Doesn\u2019t Mean Falling Home Prices<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p>To show that home prices don\u2019t fall every time there\u2019s a <a title=\"recession\" href=\"https:\/\/www.corelogic.com\/blog\/2019\/03\/housing-recessions-and-recoveries.aspx\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">recession<\/a>, it helps to turn to <a title=\"historical data\" href=\"https:\/\/www.thebalance.com\/the-history-of-recessions-in-the-united-states-3306011\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">historical data<\/a>. As the graph below illustrates, looking at the recessions going all the way back to 1980, <a title=\"home prices\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mykcm.com\/2022\/08\/11\/what-does-the-rest-of-the-year-hold-for-home-prices\/\">home prices<\/a> appreciated in four of the last six recessions. So, historically, when the economy slows down, it doesn\u2019t mean home values will fall.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_2909\" style=\"width: 1010px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-2909\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2909\" src=\"https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/kcm-infographic-1660656500.png\" alt=\"Graphs\" width=\"1000\" height=\"870\" srcset=\"https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/kcm-infographic-1660656500.png 1000w, https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/kcm-infographic-1660656500-300x261.png 300w, https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/kcm-infographic-1660656500-768x668.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-2909\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A Recession Does Not Mean Falling Prices<\/p><\/div>\n<p>Most people remember the housing crisis in 2008 (<em>the larger of the two red bars in the graph above<\/em>) and think another recession would repeat what happened then. But this housing market <a title=\"isn\u2019t about to crash\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mykcm.com\/2022\/08\/02\/3-graphs-to-show-this-isnt-a-housing-bubble\/\">isn\u2019t about to crash<\/a>. The <a title=\"fundamentals\" href=\"https:\/\/www.mykcm.com\/2022\/07\/14\/housing-experts-say-this-isnt-a-bubble\/\">fundamentals<\/a> are very different today than they were in 2008. So, don\u2019t assume we\u2019re heading down the same path.<\/p>\n<h4><strong>A Recession Means Falling Mortgage Rates<\/strong><\/h4>\n<p><a title=\"Research\" href=\"https:\/\/mtg-specialists.com\/2022\/05\/11\/recession-interest-rates-and-real-estate\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">Research<\/a> also helps paint the picture of how a recession could impact the cost of financing a home. As the chart below shows, historically, each time the economy slowed down, <a title=\"mortgage rates\" href=\"https:\/\/www.freddiemac.com\/pmms\/archive\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">mortgage rates<\/a> decreased.<\/p>\n<div id=\"attachment_2910\" style=\"width: 1010px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\"><img aria-describedby=\"caption-attachment-2910\" decoding=\"async\" loading=\"lazy\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2910\" src=\"https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/kcm-infographic-1660656479.png\" alt=\"Graphs\" width=\"1000\" height=\"870\" srcset=\"https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/kcm-infographic-1660656479.png 1000w, https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/kcm-infographic-1660656479-300x261.png 300w, https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/08\/kcm-infographic-1660656479-768x668.png 768w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1000px) 100vw, 1000px\" \/><p id=\"caption-attachment-2910\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">A Recession Means Falling Mortgage Rates<\/p><\/div>\n<p><em>Fortune<\/em> <a title=\"explains\" href=\"https:\/\/fortune.com\/2019\/06\/19\/next-recession-assets-mortgage-rates\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener noreferrer\">explains<\/a> that mortgage rates typically fall during an economic slowdown:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p><em>\u201c<strong>Over the past five recessions, mortgage rates have fallen an average of 1.8 percentage points from the peak seen during the recession to the trough. <\/strong>And in many cases, they continued to fall after the fact as it takes some time to turn things around even when the recession is technically over.\u201d<\/em><\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>And while history doesn\u2019t always repeat itself, we can learn from and find comfort in the historical data.<\/p>\n<h3><strong>Bottom Line<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>There\u2019s no doubt everyone remembers what happened in the housing market in 2008. But you don\u2019t need to fear the word <em>recession<\/em> if you\u2019re planning to buy or sell a home. According to historical data, in most recessions, home price gains have stayed strong, and mortgage rates have declined.<\/p>\n<p>If you\u2019re thinking about buying or selling a home, let\u2019s connect so you have expert advice on what\u2019s happening in the housing market and what that means for your homeownership goals.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Contact us:<\/strong><br \/>\nPHP Houses<br \/>\n142 W Lakeview Ave<br \/>\nUnit 1030<br \/>\nLake Mary, FL 32746<br \/>\nPh:\u00a0<span id=\"gc-number-1\" class=\"gc-cs-link\" title=\"Call with Google Voice\">(407) 641-1531<\/span><br \/>\nFax:\u00a0<span id=\"gc-number-2\" class=\"gc-cs-link\" title=\"Call with Google Voice\">(407) 205-1951<\/span><br \/>\nemail:\u00a0info@phphouses.com<\/p>\n<p><strong>Let\u2019s Connect:<\/strong><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/WeBuyHousesCentralFlorida\/\">Facebook<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.linkedin.com\/in\/walter-diloreto-25403710\/\">Linkedin<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/twitter.com\/WalterDiLoreto\">Twitter<\/a><br \/>\n<a href=\"https:\/\/www.instagram.com\/wdiloreto\/\">Instagram<\/a><\/p>\n<h5><em>The information contained, and the opinions expressed, in this article are not intended to be construed as investment advice. The author does not guarantee or warrant the accuracy or completeness of the information or opinions contained herein. Nothing herein should be construed as investment advice. You should always conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice before making any investment decision. The author will not be liable for any loss or damage caused by your reliance on the information or opinions contained herein.<\/em><\/h5>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Here\u2019s a look at historical data to show what happened in real estate during previous recessions to help prove why you shouldn\u2019t be afraid of what a recession would mean for the housing market today. <a class=\"continue\" href=\"https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/recession-mean-housing-market\/\">Finish Reading<span> What Would a Recession Mean for the Housing Market?<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[69],"tags":[15,538,164,149,18,27,91,158,25,49,159,397,42,228,63,20,48,94,47,19,6,17],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2907"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2907"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2907\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2911,"href":"https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2907\/revisions\/2911"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2907"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2907"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/phphouses.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2907"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}