Categories
Real Estate Market

Will Surging Unemployment Crush Home Sales?

Will Surging Unemployment Crush Home Sales?

Ten million Americans lost their jobs over the last two weeks. The next announced unemployment rate on May 8th is expected to be in the double digits. Because the health crisis brought the economy to a screeching halt, many are feeling a personal financial crisis. James Bullard, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, explained that the government is trying to find ways to assist those who have lost their jobs and the companies which were forced to close (think: your neighborhood restaurant). In a recent interview he said:

“This is a planned, organized partial shutdown of the U.S. economy in the second quarter. The overall goal is to keep everyone, households and businesses, whole.”

That’s promising, but we’re still uncertain as to when the recently unemployed will be able to return to work.

Another concern: how badly will the U.S. economy be damaged if people can’t buy homes?

A new concern is whether the high number of unemployed Americans will cause the residential real estate market to crash, putting a greater strain on the economy and leading to even more job losses. The housing industry is a major piece of the overall economy in this country.

Chris Herbert, Managing Director of the Joint Center for Housing Studies of Harvard University, in a post titled Responding to the Covid-19 Pandemic, addressed the toll this crisis will have on our nation, explaining:

“Housing is a foundational element of every person’s well-being. And with nearly a fifth of US gross domestic product rooted in housing-related expenditures, it is also critical to the well-being of our broader economy.”

How has the unemployment rate affected home sales in the past?

It’s logical to think there would be a direct correlation between the unemployment rate and home sales: as the unemployment rate went up, home sales would go down, and when the unemployment rate went down, home sales would go up.

However, research reviewing the last thirty years doesn’t show that direct relationship, as noted in the graph below. The blue and grey bars represent home sales, while the yellow line is the unemployment rate. Take a look at numbers 1 through 4:

Unemployment Rates and Home Sales
  1. The unemployment rate was rising between 1992-1993, yet home sales increased.
  2. The unemployment rate was rising between 2001-2003, and home sales increased.
  3. The unemployment rate was rising between 2007-2010, and home sales significantly decreased.
  4. The unemployment rate was falling continuously between 2015-2019, and home sales remained relatively flat.

The impact of the unemployment rate on home sales doesn’t seem to be as strong as we may have thought.

Isn’t this time different?

Yes. There is no doubt the country hasn’t seen job losses this quickly in almost one hundred years. How bad could it get? Goldman Sachs projects the unemployment rate to be 15% in the third quarter of 2020, flattening to single digits by the fourth quarter of this year, and then just over 6% percent by the fourth quarter of 2021. Not ideal for the housing industry, but manageable.

How does this compare to the other financial crises?

Some believe this is going to be reminiscent of The Great Depression. From the standpoint of unemployment rates alone (the only thing this article addresses), it does not compare. Here are the unemployment rates during the Great Depression, the Great Recession, and the projected rates moving forward:

Unemployment Rates Compared to Past Financial Rates

Bottom Line

We’ve given you the facts as we know them. The housing market will have challenges this year. However, with the help being given to those who have lost their jobs and the fact that we’re looking at a quick recovery for the economy after we address the health problem, the housing industry should be fine in the long term. Stay safe.

Contact us:
PHP Houses
142 W Lakeview Ave
Unit 1030
Lake Mary, FL 32746
Ph: (407) 519-0719
Fax: (407) 205-1951
email: info@phphouses.com

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THE INFORMATION PRESENTED IN THIS ARTICLE IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED LEGAL, FINANCIAL, OR AS ANY OTHER TYPE OF ADVICE.
Categories
Buying a House

Why Pre-Approval Is a Great Step to Take Today

If you’re in the position to buy a home this year, pre-approval is something you can still do right now to get ahead in the homebuying process. Let’s connect to talk about your goals for 2020.

Contact us:
PHP Houses
142 W Lakeview Ave
Unit 1030
Lake Mary, FL 32746
Ph: (407) 519-0719
Fax: (407) 205-1951
email: info@phphouses.com

Let’s Connect:
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THE INFORMATION PRESENTED IN THIS ARTICLE IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED LEGAL, FINANCIAL, OR AS ANY OTHER TYPE OF ADVICE.
Categories
Real Estate Market

The Housing Market Is Positioned to Help the Economy Recover

The Housing Market Is Positioned to Help the Economy Recover

Some Highlights

  • Expert insights are painting a bright future for housing when the economy bounces back – and it will.
  • We may be facing challenging economic times today, but the housing market is poised to help the economy recover, not drag it down.
  • Let’s connect to make sure you’re informed and ready when it’s time to make your move.

Contact us:
PHP Houses
142 W Lakeview Ave
Unit 1030
Lake Mary, FL 32746
Ph: (407) 519-0719
Fax: (407) 205-1951
email: info@phphouses.com

Let’s Connect:
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THE INFORMATION PRESENTED IN THIS ARTICLE IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED LEGAL, FINANCIAL, OR AS ANY OTHER TYPE OF ADVICE.
Categories
Avoiding Foreclosure

Problems With Using Bankruptcy to Stop Foreclosure in Florida

Many homeowners feel powerless when their bank sends them a Notice of Default and might consider filing bankruptcy to stop foreclosure on their house. Knowing that they’re behind on mortgage payments can force borrowers to seek help in unlikely places.

If government loan modifications and repayment plans are unavailable to help a homeowner stop foreclosure, they can feel like their options are limited while going through a foreclosure.

With the threat of losing their family home and the stress related to major financial hardship, many homeowners will jump at any chance to stop foreclosure, no matter at what cost. Some homeowners might feel like their best option is filing for bankruptcy, but there are a multitude of problems with using bankruptcy to stop foreclosure.

Bankruptcy Misconceptions

problems when using bankruptcy to stop foreclosure

One of the main reasons homeowners choose to file bankruptcy on the cusp of foreclosure is due to the misconceptions associated with bankruptcy. Through misinformation and word-of-mouth exposure, people make assumptions on the bankruptcy process that are simply not true. These common misunderstandings contribute to the problems with using bankruptcy to stop foreclosure.

A likely misconception is that bankruptcy can stop the foreclosure process completely.

This is simply untrue.

Although declaring bankruptcy will buy time during the foreclosure process, it isn’t a permanent solution.

If bankruptcy is filed before the Notice of Sale, homeowners will experience a foreclosure bankruptcy stay. This automatic stay bars lenders from pursuing collective activities on a homeowner’s assets to repay what they already owe and begins as soon as the borrower files.

However, mortgage companies have the right to file a relief from stay.

Their case is especially strong if the borrower has already stopped making mortgage payments.

If the bankruptcy grants the motion, lenders will be able to continue with the foreclosure process. Unless a borrower is able to continue to make mortgage payments, filing for bankruptcy isn’t a reliable method to stopping foreclosure. It temporarily halts the foreclosure process; it doesn’t stop it permanently.

You Still Have to Pay Back the Loan

getting a loan to avoid using bankruptcy to stop foreclosure

Another common misconception is that homeowners who file bankruptcy can keep their residential property without having to pay back their loan.

Most borrowers file for bankruptcy to obtain a discharge, or release, from personal liability for their home loan debt. However, the foreclosure bankruptcy discharge is not guaranteed and is, thus, one of the ample problems with using bankruptcy to stop foreclosure.

The foreclosure bankruptcy discharge differs between chapters. When filing for Chapter 7, for instance, lenders have the option to object during a four-month-long grace period. They can file a motion to dismiss the case for a number of reasons and force borrowers to pay missed mortgage payments while continuing the foreclosure process.

With a Chapter 13 bankruptcy, however, homeowners can see a discharge only after successfully completing a payment plan, which usually lasts between three to five years. Before completing it, homeowners are vulnerable to foreclosure.

Amy Loftsgordon, contributor to a site all about national laws, wants homeowners to remember “that even though the borrower is no longer personally liable for the mortgage debt [with a successful bankruptcy discharge], the lender still has the right to foreclose if the borrower isn’t making mortgage payments.” Don’t count on a foreclosure bankruptcy discharge to save your home.

Foreclosure Bankruptcy Laws

signing paperwork to us bankruptcy to stop foreclosure

Before filing for bankruptcy, knowing your state’s foreclosure bankruptcy laws is necessary. Although there are a few slight variations to the laws throughout the country, the basic regulations apply to most homeowners seeking bankruptcy to disrupt foreclosure proceedings.

The changing bankruptcy laws can be a hassle when deciding to file. Approximately a decade ago, Congress overhauled the national bankruptcy laws, effectively making it harder for many people to file.

They reconfigured Chapters 7 and 13 bankruptcy specifically. Homeowners must pass a stricter means test to qualify for chapter 7 or risk paying back some of their debt in a separate Chapter 13 filing. In addition, the new bankruptcy laws require homeowners to get credit counseling prior to filing a bankruptcy case. These new additions are costly to homeowners in need of a speedy solution to foreclosure.

Before the change in policy, most homeowners were allowed to choose the type of bankruptcy ideally suited for their specific situation. Most decided to file for Chapter 7’s liquidation method over Chapter 13’s repayment plan.

The bankruptcy law initiated in 2005 now prohibits some homeowners with reported higher incomes from utilizing Chapter 7 bankruptcy. If a filer’s current monthly income is greater than the median for a household of equal size in their state, they must pass an additional means test before filing for Chapter 7. This bankruptcy law forces many homeowners to jump through time-consuming hoops before halting their foreclosure. If dealing with a foreclosure deadline, this added step can be costly.

the problem with bankruptcy to stop foreclosure

The foreclosing bankruptcy laws requiring additional credit counseling also contributes to the problems with using bankruptcy to stop foreclosure. Before filing for either Chapter under the new law, homeowners must complete mandated counseling with an agency provided by the United States Trustee’s office.

Although their purpose is to help struggling homeowners, these counseling sessions can hinder certain cases for bankruptcy. If the appointed counselors believe a borrower can meet monthly payments, they’re required to submit their findings to the court. These preliminary findings can be devastating to borrowers that need to stop foreclosure immediately or face eviction.

Before receiving an automatic stay from bankruptcy, filers must trek through many hurdles. These hurdles often impede a homeowner’s desire to keep their home. Although they may seem straightforward and simple, the ever-changing foreclosure bankruptcy laws and increased cost to qualify are some of the main problems with using bankruptcy to stop foreclosure.

Foreclosure Bankruptcy Taxes

doing research on your options when considering filing bankruptcy to stop foreclosure

Another one of the major problems with using bankruptcy to stop foreclosure is the current taxes aligned with selling. Homeowners must be wary of the additional costs to filing bankruptcy, especially if their goal is to ultimately save their home.

A common tax law requires bankruptcy filers to pay tax liability after receiving debt forgiveness. The principal treats any kind of financial forgiveness as a financial benefit, even if it means losing a home through foreclosure.

Homeowners are required to pay additional foreclosure bankruptcy taxes due to the federal government’s regulations, the Cancellation of Debt Income, or as a capital gain from foreclosure. If homeowners are currently struggling to pay their monthly mortgage payments, they’ll likely be unable to pay Uncle Sam, resulting in yet another incurred debt.

If a homeowner’s main focus is keeping their home despite their mortgage lender initiating foreclosure, filing for bankruptcy shouldn’t be a consideration. Filing for bankruptcy is time-consuming, the laws are constantly changing, and foreclosure bankruptcy taxes can be brutal on a homeowner’s wallet. Instead of experiencing the many problems with using bankruptcy to stop foreclosure, homeowners are advised to avoid the bankruptcy misconceptions and explore alternatives when facing foreclosure.

Are You Considering Using Bankruptcy to Stop Foreclosure

If foreclosure is looming for you, you should consider getting a cash offer from a cash home buyer. PHP Houses, Llc has helped dozens of sellers in Orange Seminole Volusia Lake Osceola Counties sell their house before foreclosure. This has allowed them to keep the foreclosure off their credit and receive some of the equity they had in the home instead of losing it all.

If you’d like to find out how much we can offer if you decide to sell your Central Florida house fast, give us a call at (407) 519-0719. We look forward to talking with you about how the process works and what we can do for you.

Contact us:
PHP Houses
142 W Lakeview Ave
Unit 1030
Lake Mary, FL 32746
Ph: (407) 519-0719
Fax: (407) 205-1951
email: info@phphouses.com

Let’s Connect:
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The information presented in this article is for educational purposes only and should not be considered legal, financial, or as any other type of advice.
Categories
Real Estate Market

Looking to the Future: What the Experts Are Saying

Looking to the Future: What the Experts Are Saying

As our lives, our businesses, and the world we live in change day by day, we’re all left wondering how long this will last. How long will we feel the effects of the coronavirus? How deep will the impact go? The human toll may forever change families, but the economic impact will rebound with a cycle of downturn followed by economic expansion like we’ve seen play out in the U.S. economy many times over.

Here’s a look at what leading experts and current research indicate about the economic impact we’ll likely see as a result of the coronavirus. It starts with a forecast of U.S. Gross Domestic Product (GDP).

According to Investopedia:

“Gross Domestic Product (GDP) is the total monetary or market value of all the finished goods and services produced within a country’s borders in a specific time period. As a broad measure of overall domestic production, it functions as a comprehensive scorecard of the country’s economic health.”

When looking at GDP (the measure of our country’s economic health), a survey of three leading financial institutions shows a projected sharp decline followed by a steep rebound in the second half of this year:

Major FInancial Institutions Are Calculating for a Rapid V-Type Recovery

A recent study from John Burns Consulting also notes that past pandemics have also created V-Shaped Economic Recoveries like the ones noted above, and they had minimal impact on housing prices. This certainly gives hope and optimism for what is to come as the crisis passes.

With this historical analysis in mind, many business owners are also optimistic for a bright economic return. A recent PricewaterhouseCoopers survey shows this confidence, noting 66% of surveyed business owners feel their companies will return to normal business rhythms within a month of the pandemic passing, and 90% feel they should be back to normal operation 1 to 3 months after:

Survey of 50 Leaders from a Cross-Section of Industries

From expert financial institutions to business leaders across the country, we can clearly see that the anticipation of a quick return to normal once the current crisis subsides is not too far away. In essence, this won’t last forever, and we will get back to growth-mode. We’ve got this.

Bottom Line

Lives and businesses are being impacted by the coronavirus, but experts do see a light at the end of the tunnel. As the economy slows down due to the health crisis, we can take guidance and advice from experts that this too will pass.

Contact us:
PHP Houses
142 W Lakeview Ave
Unit 1030
Lake Mary, FL 32746
Ph: (407) 519-0719
Fax: (407) 205-1951
email: info@phphouses.com

Let’s Connect:
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THE INFORMATION PRESENTED IN THIS ARTICLE IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED LEGAL, FINANCIAL, OR AS ANY OTHER TYPE OF ADVICE.
Categories
Buying a House

The #1 Thing You Can Do Now to Position Yourself to Buy a Home This Year

The #1 Thing You Can Do Now to Position Yourself to Buy a Home This Year

The last few weeks and months have caused a major health crisis throughout the world, leading to a pause in the U.S. economy as businesses and consumers work to slow the spread of the coronavirus. The rapid spread of the virus has been compared to prior pandemics and outbreaks not seen in many years. It also has consumers remembering the economic slowdown of 2008 that was caused by a housing crash. This economic slowdown, however, is very different from 2008. In the next paragraphs we’ll show you the #1 Thing You Can Do Now to Position Yourself to Buy a Home This Year.

One thing the experts are saying is that while we’ll see a swift decline in economic activity in the second quarter, we’ll begin a sharp rebound in the second half of this year. According to John Burns Consulting:

“Historical analysis showed us that pandemics are usually V-shaped (sharp recessions that recover quickly enough to provide little damage to home prices), and some very cutting-edge search engine analysis by our Information Management team showed the current slowdown is playing out similarly thus far.” 

Given this situation, if you’re thinking about buying a home this year, the best thing you can do right now is use this time to get pre-approved for a mortgage, which you can do from the comfort of your home. Pre-approval will help you better understand how much you can afford so that you can confidently do the following two things when you’re ready to buy:

1. Gain a Competitive Advantage

Today’s low inventory, like we’ve seen recently and will continue to see, means homebuyers need every advantage they can get to make a strong offer and close the deal. Being pre-approved shows the sellers you’re serious about buying a home, which is always a plus in your corner.

2. Accelerate the Homebuying Process

Pre-approval can also speed-up the homebuying process so you can move faster when you’re ready to make an offer. Being ready to put your best foot forward when the time comes may be the leg-up you need to cross the finish line first and land the home of your dreams.

Bottom Line

Pre-approval is the best thing you can do right now to be in a stronger position to buy a home when you’re ready. Let’s connect today to get the process started.

Contact us:
PHP Houses
142 W Lakeview Ave
Unit 1030
Lake Mary, FL 32746
Ph: (407) 519-0719
Fax: (407) 205-1951
email: info@phphouses.com

Let’s Connect:
Facebook
Linkedin
Twitter
Instagram

THE INFORMATION PRESENTED IN THIS ARTICLE IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED LEGAL, FINANCIAL, OR AS ANY OTHER TYPE OF ADVICE.